Stuttgart vs Mainz result and stats
Win probability: home 50%, draw 26%, away 24%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersStuttgart beat Mainz 2–1 at home in the Bundesliga on Sunday 26 October 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Stuttgart 50%, the draw 26% and Mainz 24%, so a home win had a 50% chance. The favourite result came in.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
STMA
19Shots13
8On target2
7Corners5
11Fouls12
4Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals1
Recent form
Stuttgart
W @ Wolfsburg3–0 · 18 Oct
W v Heidenheim1–0 · 5 Oct
W @ FC Köln2–1 · 28 Sep
W v St Pauli2–0 · 19 Sep
L @ Freiburg1–3 · 13 Sep
Mainz
L v Bayer Leverkusen3–4 · 18 Oct
L @ Hamburg0–4 · 5 Oct
L v Borussia Dortmund0–2 · 27 Sep
W @ Augsburg4–1 · 20 Sep
L v RB Leipzig0–1 · 13 Sep
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Stuttgart won 4, Mainz won 1 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 25 Jan 2025, finished Mainz 2–0 Stuttgart, a win for Mainz.
Mainz 2–0 Stuttgart25 Jan 2025
Stuttgart 3–3 Mainz31 Aug 2024
Stuttgart 3–1 Mainz11 Feb 2024
Mainz 1–3 Stuttgart16 Sep 2023
Mainz 1–4 Stuttgart21 May 2023
Stuttgart 1–1 Mainz21 Jan 2023