Union Berlin vs Mainz result and stats
Win probability: home 35%, draw 32%, away 33%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersUnion Berlin and Mainz drew 2–2 in the Bundesliga on Saturday 10 January 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Union Berlin 35%, the draw 32% and Mainz 33%, so a draw had a 32% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
UBMA
17Shots9
5On target6
2Corners1
9Fouls8
2Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Recent form
Union Berlin
W @ FC Köln1–0 · 20 Dec
W v RB Leipzig3–1 · 12 Dec
L @ Wolfsburg1–3 · 6 Dec
L v Heidenheim1–2 · 29 Nov
W @ St Pauli1–0 · 23 Nov
Mainz
D v St Pauli0–0 · 21 Dec
D @ Bayern Munich2–2 · 14 Dec
L v Gladbach0–1 · 5 Dec
L @ Freiburg0–4 · 30 Nov
D v Hoffenheim1–1 · 21 Nov
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Union Berlin won 5, Mainz won 0 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 19 Jan 2025, finished Union Berlin 2–1 Mainz, a win for Union Berlin.
Union Berlin 2–1 Mainz19 Jan 2025
Mainz 1–1 Union Berlin24 Aug 2024
Mainz 1–1 Union Berlin7 Feb 2024
Union Berlin 4–1 Mainz20 Aug 2023
Union Berlin 2–1 Mainz4 Feb 2023
Mainz 0–0 Union Berlin14 Aug 2022