Wolfsburg vs Mainz result and stats
Win probability: home 38%, draw 29%, away 34%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersWolfsburg and Mainz drew 1–1 in the Bundesliga on Sunday 31 August 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Wolfsburg 38%, the draw 29% and Mainz 34%, so a draw had a 29% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
WOMA
11Shots17
3On target3
3Corners10
15Fouls14
3Yellow cards5
1Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Recent form
Wolfsburg
W @ Heidenheim3–1 · 23 Aug
W @ Gladbach1–0 · 17 May
D v Hoffenheim2–2 · 9 May
L @ Borussia Dortmund0–4 · 3 May
L v Freiburg0–1 · 26 Apr
Mainz
L v FC Köln0–1 · 24 Aug
D v Bayer Leverkusen2–2 · 17 May
W @ Bochum4–1 · 10 May
D v Eintracht Frankfurt1–1 · 4 May
L @ Bayern Munich0–3 · 26 Apr
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Wolfsburg won 4, Mainz won 2 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 19 Apr 2025, was a 2–2 draw.
Mainz 2–2 Wolfsburg19 Apr 2025
Wolfsburg 4–3 Mainz8 Dec 2024
Wolfsburg 1–3 Mainz18 May 2024
Mainz 1–1 Wolfsburg13 Jan 2024
Wolfsburg 3–0 Mainz30 Apr 2023
Mainz 0–3 Wolfsburg5 Nov 2022