Augsburg vs Bayern Munich result and stats
Win probability: home 10%, draw 14%, away 76%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersAugsburg and Bayern Munich drew 2–2 in the Bundesliga on Saturday 10 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Augsburg 10%, the draw 14% and Bayern Munich 76%, so a draw had a 14% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Augsburg 2.37, Bayern Munich 4.96, so Bayern Munich created the better chances. Augsburg had 12 shots (5 on target) to Bayern Munich's 30 (10 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
AUBM
2.37Expected goals4.96
12Shots30
5On target10
5Corners9
10Fouls6
3Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Recent form
Augsburg
L @ Werder Bremen2–3 · 19 Sep
D v Bayer Leverkusen2–2 · 12 Sep
W @ Eintracht Frankfurt4–1 · 6 Sep
W v Schalke 043–0 · 30 Aug
L @ Union Berlin0–4 · 16 May
Bayern Munich
W v Union Berlin7–0 · 18 Sep
W @ Elversberg2–1 · 13 Sep
D @ Schalke 040–0 · 5 Sep
W v Stuttgart5–1 · 28 Aug
W v FC Köln5–1 · 16 May
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Augsburg won 3, Bayern Munich won 7 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 24 Jan 2026, finished Bayern Munich 1–2 Augsburg, a win for Augsburg.
Bayern Munich 1–2 Augsburg24 Jan 2026
Augsburg 2–3 Bayern Munich30 Aug 2025
Augsburg 1–3 Bayern Munich4 Apr 2025
Bayern Munich 3–0 Augsburg22 Nov 2024
Augsburg 2–3 Bayern Munich27 Jan 2024
Bayern Munich 3–1 Augsburg27 Aug 2023
Season averages per game
AUBM
2.43Goals3.57
1.86Conceded0.86
2.16xG3.41
2.74xG against0.93
17.7Shots23.3
6.7On target10.1
5.9Corners9.1
1.57Yellow cards0.86
14%Clean sheets29%
86%Both score71%
86%3+ goals86%