Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund prediction
Match preview
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Bayern Munich clear favourites to beat Borussia Dortmund at home in the Bundesliga on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 17:30 UTC. It gives Bayern Munich a 64% chance of winning, puts the draw at 19% and gives Borussia Dortmund 17%.
GossipBall expects 2.5 goals from Bayern Munich and 1.3 from Borussia Dortmund, so goals look likely: there is a 73% chance of three or more goals and a 66% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 2–1 (9%). Bayern Munich keep a clean sheet in 28% of outcomes, Borussia Dortmund in 8%.
Bayern Munich are 1st in the table with 17 points from 7 games; Borussia Dortmund are 2nd with 17. In their last five league games Bayern Munich took 13 points (WWDWW) and Borussia Dortmund took 11 (WWDDW). This season Bayern Munich average 3.41 expected goals (xG) for and 0.93 against per game; Borussia Dortmund average 1.65 for and 0.96 against.
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Bayern Munich won 6, Borussia Dortmund won 1 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 28 Feb 2026, finished Borussia Dortmund 2–3 Bayern Munich, a win for Bayern Munich.
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGoals
ExplainedGOSSIPBALL expects 3.8 goals in total: 2.52 for Bayern Munich and 1.26 for Borussia Dortmund.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Bayern Munich won 6, Borussia Dortmund won 1 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 28 Feb 2026, finished Borussia Dortmund 2–3 Bayern Munich, a win for Bayern Munich.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund?
GossipBall gives Bayern Munich a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Borussia Dortmund 17%. GossipBall makes Bayern Munich clear favourites to beat Borussia Dortmund at home.
What is the most likely score in Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund?
The likeliest single score is 2–1, with a 9% chance. The next most likely are 1–1 (8%), 3–1 (8%), 2–0 (7%).
Will both teams score in Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund?
GossipBall gives a 66% chance that both Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund score.
Will there be three or more goals in Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund?
There is a 73% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.8 goals in total (2.5 for Bayern Munich, 1.3 for Borussia Dortmund).
When is Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund?
Kick-off is Saturday 31 October 2026 at 17:30 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund?
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Bayern Munich won 6, Borussia Dortmund won 1 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 28 Feb 2026, finished Borussia Dortmund 2–3 Bayern Munich, a win for Bayern Munich.