Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig result and stats
Win probability: home 72%, draw 16%, away 13%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersBayern Munich beat RB Leipzig 6–1 at home in the Bundesliga on Saturday 17 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Bayern Munich 72%, the draw 16% and RB Leipzig 13%, so a home win had a 72% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Bayern Munich 3.40, RB Leipzig 0.84, so Bayern Munich created the better chances. Bayern Munich had 29 shots (17 on target) to RB Leipzig's 12 (4 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
BMRL
3.40Expected goals0.84
29Shots12
17On target4
11Corners3
15Fouls6
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
3Half-time goals0
Recent form
Bayern Munich
D @ Augsburg2–2 · 10 Oct
W v Union Berlin7–0 · 18 Sep
W @ Elversberg2–1 · 13 Sep
D @ Schalke 040–0 · 5 Sep
W v Stuttgart5–1 · 28 Aug
RB Leipzig
W v Eintracht Frankfurt6–0 · 10 Oct
L @ Bayer Leverkusen0–2 · 20 Sep
W v Hamburg5–0 · 13 Sep
L @ Werder Bremen1–3 · 5 Sep
W v Gladbach3–0 · 29 Aug
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Bayern Munich won 6, RB Leipzig won 1 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 17 Jan 2026, finished RB Leipzig 1–5 Bayern Munich, a win for Bayern Munich.
RB Leipzig 1–5 Bayern Munich17 Jan 2026
Bayern Munich 6–0 RB Leipzig22 Aug 2025
RB Leipzig 3–3 Bayern Munich3 May 2025
Bayern Munich 5–1 RB Leipzig20 Dec 2024
Bayern Munich 2–1 RB Leipzig24 Feb 2024
RB Leipzig 2–2 Bayern Munich30 Sep 2023
Season averages per game
BMRL
3.57Goals2.86
0.86Conceded1.57
3.41xG2.37
0.93xG against1.58
23.3Shots17.1
10.1On target6.4
9.1Corners5.3
0.86Yellow cards1.00
29%Clean sheets57%
71%Both score29%
86%3+ goals86%