Bayern Munich vs Stuttgart result and stats
Win probability: home 72%, draw 15%, away 13%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersBayern Munich beat Stuttgart 5–1 at home in the Bundesliga on Friday 28 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Bayern Munich 72%, the draw 15% and Stuttgart 13%, so a home win had a 72% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Bayern Munich 4.06, Stuttgart 0.78, so Bayern Munich created the better chances. Bayern Munich had 21 shots (9 on target) to Stuttgart's 11 (4 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
BMST
4.06Expected goals0.78
21Shots11
9On target4
9Corners3
10Fouls17
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Recent form
Bayern Munich
W v FC Köln5–1 · 16 May
W @ Wolfsburg1–0 · 9 May
D v Heidenheim3–3 · 2 May
W @ Mainz4–3 · 25 Apr
W v Stuttgart4–2 · 19 Apr
Stuttgart
D @ Eintracht Frankfurt2–2 · 16 May
W v Bayer Leverkusen3–1 · 9 May
D @ Hoffenheim3–3 · 2 May
D v Werder Bremen1–1 · 26 Apr
L @ Bayern Munich2–4 · 19 Apr
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Bayern Munich won 7, Stuttgart won 1 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 19 Apr 2026, finished Bayern Munich 4–2 Stuttgart, a win for Bayern Munich.
Bayern Munich 4–2 Stuttgart19 Apr 2026
Stuttgart 0–5 Bayern Munich6 Dec 2025
Stuttgart 1–3 Bayern Munich28 Feb 2025
Bayern Munich 4–0 Stuttgart19 Oct 2024
Stuttgart 3–1 Bayern Munich4 May 2024
Bayern Munich 3–0 Stuttgart17 Dec 2023
Season averages per game
BMST
3.57Goals1.43
0.86Conceded1.86
3.41xG1.94
0.93xG against2.44
23.3Shots16.9
10.1On target5.7
9.1Corners6.6
0.86Yellow cards1.14
29%Clean sheets14%
71%Both score57%
86%3+ goals57%