Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburg result and stats
Win probability: home 68%, draw 20%, away 12%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersBorussia Dortmund beat Hamburg 2–0 at home in the Bundesliga on Saturday 29 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Borussia Dortmund 68%, the draw 20% and Hamburg 12%, so a home win had a 68% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Borussia Dortmund 1.41, Hamburg 0.80, so Borussia Dortmund created the better chances. Borussia Dortmund had 20 shots (6 on target) to Hamburg's 8 (3 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
BDHA
1.41Expected goals0.80
20Shots8
6On target3
3Corners1
13Fouls19
2Yellow cards1
1Red cards0
2Half-time goals0
Recent form
Borussia Dortmund
W @ Werder Bremen2–0 · 16 May
W v Eintracht Frankfurt3–2 · 8 May
L @ Gladbach0–1 · 3 May
W v Freiburg4–0 · 26 Apr
L @ Hoffenheim1–2 · 18 Apr
Hamburg
D @ Bayer Leverkusen1–1 · 16 May
W v Freiburg3–2 · 10 May
W @ Eintracht Frankfurt2–1 · 2 May
L v Hoffenheim1–2 · 25 Apr
L @ Werder Bremen1–3 · 18 Apr
Head to head
In 2 league meetings since 2025, Borussia Dortmund won 1, Hamburg won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 21 Mar 2026, finished Borussia Dortmund 3–2 Hamburg, a win for Borussia Dortmund.
Borussia Dortmund 3–2 Hamburg21 Mar 2026
Hamburg 1–1 Borussia Dortmund8 Nov 2025
Season averages per game
BDHA
1.71Goals0.86
0.57Conceded2.29
1.65xG0.99
0.96xG against1.80
15.3Shots10.7
5.1On target3.3
6.0Corners3.7
2.14Yellow cards1.43
71%Clean sheets14%
29%Both score29%
43%3+ goals57%