Hamburg vs FC Köln result and stats
Win probability: home 40%, draw 27%, away 33%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersHamburg beat FC Köln 2–1 at home in the Bundesliga on Saturday 19 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Hamburg 40%, the draw 27% and FC Köln 33%, so a home win had a 40% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Hamburg 1.45, FC Köln 1.41, so Hamburg created the better chances. Hamburg had 12 shots (7 on target) to FC Köln's 18 (5 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
HAKÖ
1.45Expected goals1.41
12Shots18
7On target5
3Corners5
12Fouls14
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Recent form
Hamburg
L @ RB Leipzig0–5 · 13 Sep
L v Mainz0–5 · 6 Sep
L @ Borussia Dortmund0–2 · 29 Aug
D @ Bayer Leverkusen1–1 · 16 May
W v Freiburg3–2 · 10 May
FC Köln
D v Werder Bremen1–1 · 12 Sep
L @ Stuttgart1–4 · 4 Sep
W v Hoffenheim3–2 · 29 Aug
L @ Bayern Munich1–5 · 16 May
L v Heidenheim1–3 · 10 May
Head to head
In 2 league meetings since 2025, Hamburg won 0, FC Köln won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 14 Mar 2026, was a 1–1 draw.
Hamburg 1–1 FC Köln14 Mar 2026
FC Köln 4–1 Hamburg2 Nov 2025
Season averages per game
HAKÖ
0.86Goals1.14
2.29Conceded1.57
0.99xG1.60
1.80xG against1.64
10.7Shots15.9
3.3On target5.3
3.7Corners6.0
1.43Yellow cards1.86
14%Clean sheets14%
29%Both score71%
57%3+ goals57%