GossipBall
ChampionshipTuesday 21 October 2025 ·

Derby vs Norwich result and stats

38%
test home win
1–0
full time
26%
draw
36%
test away win
Win probability: home 38%, draw 26%, away 36%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Derby beat Norwich 1–0 at home in the Championship on Tuesday 21 October 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Derby 38%, the draw 26% and Norwich 36%, so a home win had a 38% chance. The favourite result came in.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

DENO
8
Shots
17
3
On target
3
5
Corners
13
13
Fouls
7
2
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
0
0
Half-time goals
0

Referee: B Toner

Recent form

Derby
L @ Oxford0–1 · 18 Oct
D v Southampton1–1 · 4 Oct
D v Charlton1–1 · 30 Sep
D @ Wrexham1–1 · 27 Sep
L v Preston0–1 · 20 Sep
Norwich
L v Bristol City0–1 · 18 Oct
L @ Ipswich1–3 · 5 Oct
L v West Brom0–1 · 1 Oct
D @ Stoke1–1 · 27 Sep
L v Wrexham2–3 · 20 Sep

Head to head

In 2 league meetings since 2024, Derby won 0, Norwich won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 8 Feb 2025, was a 1–1 draw.

Norwich 1–1 Derby8 Feb 2025
Derby 2–3 Norwich28 Sep 2024

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Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]