GossipBall
ChampionshipSaturday 25 October 2025 ·

Derby vs QPR result and stats

44%
test home win
1–0
full time
27%
draw
29%
test away win
Win probability: home 44%, draw 27%, away 29%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Derby beat QPR 1–0 at home in the Championship on Saturday 25 October 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Derby 44%, the draw 27% and QPR 29%, so a home win had a 44% chance. The favourite result came in.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

DEQP
12
Shots
6
4
On target
1
5
Corners
2
13
Fouls
10
2
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
0
1
Half-time goals
0

Referee: E Bell

Recent form

Derby
W v Norwich1–0 · 21 Oct
L @ Oxford0–1 · 18 Oct
D v Southampton1–1 · 4 Oct
D v Charlton1–1 · 30 Sep
D @ Wrexham1–1 · 27 Sep
QPR
W @ Swansea1–0 · 22 Oct
L v Millwall1–2 · 18 Oct
W @ Bristol City2–1 · 4 Oct
D v Oxford0–0 · 1 Oct
D @ Sheffield Wednesday1–1 · 27 Sep

Head to head

In 4 league meetings since 2021, Derby won 1, QPR won 3 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 14 Feb 2025, finished QPR 4–0 Derby, a win for QPR.

QPR 4–0 Derby14 Feb 2025
Derby 2–0 QPR5 Oct 2024
QPR 1–0 Derby18 Apr 2022
Derby 1–2 QPR29 Nov 2021

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]