Hull vs Derby result and stats
Win probability: home 42%, draw 27%, away 31%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersHull beat Derby 4–2 at home in the Championship on Tuesday 24 February 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Hull 42%, the draw 27% and Derby 31%, so a home win had a 42% chance. The favourite result came in.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
HUDE
9Shots18
3On target6
7Corners3
19Fouls9
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Half-time goals2
Referee: A Herczeg
Recent form
Hull
L v QPR1–3 · 21 Feb
L v Bristol City2–3 · 7 Feb
D v Watford0–0 · 3 Feb
W @ Blackburn1–0 · 31 Jan
W v Swansea2–1 · 24 Jan
Derby
L @ Watford0–2 · 21 Feb
W v Swansea2–0 · 14 Feb
L v Ipswich1–2 · 7 Feb
W @ Bristol City5–0 · 30 Jan
D v West Brom1–1 · 23 Jan
Head to head
In 5 league meetings since 2021, Hull won 0, Derby won 4 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 4 Nov 2025, finished Derby 2–1 Hull, a win for Derby.
Derby 2–1 Hull4 Nov 2025
Hull 0–1 Derby26 Apr 2025
Derby 1–1 Hull26 Oct 2024
Derby 3–1 Hull8 Feb 2022
Hull 0–1 Derby18 Aug 2021