Leicester vs Derby result and stats
Win probability: home 55%, draw 23%, away 22%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersLeicester beat Derby 2–1 at home in the Championship on Monday 29 December 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Leicester 55%, the draw 23% and Derby 22%, so a home win had a 55% chance. The favourite result came in.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
LEDE
8Shots9
2On target2
3Corners4
10Fouls12
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Half-time goals1
Referee: G Ward
Recent form
Leicester
L v Watford1–2 · 26 Dec
L @ QPR1–4 · 20 Dec
W v Ipswich3–1 · 13 Dec
D @ Bristol City2–2 · 10 Dec
W @ Derby3–1 · 6 Dec
Derby
D @ Birmingham1–1 · 26 Dec
D v Portsmouth1–1 · 20 Dec
W @ Sheffield Wednesday3–0 · 15 Dec
D v Millwall1–1 · 10 Dec
L v Leicester1–3 · 6 Dec
Head to head
In 1 league meeting since 2025, Leicester won 1, Derby won 0 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 6 Dec 2025, finished Derby 1–3 Leicester, a win for Leicester.
Derby 1–3 Leicester6 Dec 2025