Oxford vs Derby result and stats
Win probability: home 40%, draw 28%, away 32%

Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersOxford beat Derby 1–0 at home in the Championship on Saturday 18 October 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Oxford 40%, the draw 28% and Derby 32%, so a home win had a 40% chance. The favourite result came in.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
OXDE
19Shots6
7On target1
4Corners12
9Fouls12
4Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Referee: J Bell
Recent form
Oxford
L @ Watford1–2 · 4 Oct
D @ QPR0–0 · 1 Oct
L v Sheffield United0–1 · 27 Sep
W @ Bristol City3–1 · 21 Sep
D v Leicester2–2 · 13 Sep
Derby
D v Southampton1–1 · 4 Oct
D v Charlton1–1 · 30 Sep
D @ Wrexham1–1 · 27 Sep
L v Preston0–1 · 20 Sep
W @ West Brom1–0 · 13 Sep
Head to head
In 2 league meetings since 2024, Oxford won 0, Derby won 0 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 11 Feb 2025, was a 0–0 draw.
Derby 0–0 Oxford11 Feb 2025
Oxford 1–1 Derby22 Oct 2024