GossipBall
ChampionshipSaturday 18 October 2025 ·

Oxford vs Derby result and stats

Oxford
40%
test home win
1–0
full time
28%
draw
32%
test away win
Win probability: home 40%, draw 28%, away 32%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Oxford beat Derby 1–0 at home in the Championship on Saturday 18 October 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Oxford 40%, the draw 28% and Derby 32%, so a home win had a 40% chance. The favourite result came in.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

OXDE
19
Shots
6
7
On target
1
4
Corners
12
9
Fouls
12
4
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
0
1
Half-time goals
0

Referee: J Bell

Recent form

Oxford
L @ Watford1–2 · 4 Oct
D @ QPR0–0 · 1 Oct
L v Sheffield United0–1 · 27 Sep
W @ Bristol City3–1 · 21 Sep
D v Leicester2–2 · 13 Sep
Derby
D v Southampton1–1 · 4 Oct
D v Charlton1–1 · 30 Sep
D @ Wrexham1–1 · 27 Sep
L v Preston0–1 · 20 Sep
W @ West Brom1–0 · 13 Sep

Head to head

In 2 league meetings since 2024, Oxford won 0, Derby won 0 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 11 Feb 2025, was a 0–0 draw.

Derby 0–0 Oxford11 Feb 2025
Oxford 1–1 Derby22 Oct 2024

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Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]