Preston vs Derby result and stats
Win probability: home 45%, draw 28%, away 28%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersDerby won 1–0 away at Preston in the Championship on Saturday 17 January 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Preston 45%, the draw 28% and Derby 28%, so an away win had a 28% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
PRDE
13Shots18
2On target4
5Corners10
7Fouls12
2Yellow cards5
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Referee: F Hallam
Recent form
Preston
W @ Bristol City2–0 · 4 Jan
W v Sheffield Wednesday3–0 · 1 Jan
L @ Wrexham1–2 · 29 Dec
D @ Stoke0–0 · 26 Dec
D v Norwich1–1 · 20 Dec
Derby
L v Wrexham1–2 · 4 Jan
W v Middlesbrough1–0 · 1 Jan
L @ Leicester1–2 · 29 Dec
D @ Birmingham1–1 · 26 Dec
D v Portsmouth1–1 · 20 Dec
Head to head
In 5 league meetings since 2021, Preston won 1, Derby won 2 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 20 Sep 2025, finished Derby 0–1 Preston, a win for Preston.
Derby 0–1 Preston20 Sep 2025
Derby 2–0 Preston2 Apr 2025
Preston 1–1 Derby23 Nov 2024
Derby 1–0 Preston2 Apr 2022
Preston 0–0 Derby16 Oct 2021