Blackburn vs Millwall result and stats
Win probability: home 31%, draw 31%, away 37%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersBlackburn beat Millwall 3–1 at home in the Championship on Saturday 12 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Blackburn 31%, the draw 31% and Millwall 37%, so a home win had a 31% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Blackburn 1.23, Millwall 1.66, so Millwall created the better chances. Blackburn had 18 shots (4 on target) to Millwall's 16 (2 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
BLMI
1.23Expected goals1.66
18Shots16
4On target2
6Corners2
9Fouls15
5Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Referee: J Smith
Recent form
Blackburn
L v Sheffield United1–2 · 8 Sep
L @ Preston1–2 · 5 Sep
D @ Lincoln0–0 · 1 Sep
L v QPR1–2 · 29 Aug
W v Middlesbrough2–1 · 22 Aug
Millwall
W v Bolton4–0 · 5 Sep
L v Wrexham0–3 · 2 Sep
L @ Southampton1–5 · 29 Aug
W v Norwich3–0 · 22 Aug
W @ Bristol City2–0 · 15 Aug
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Blackburn won 6, Millwall won 1 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 14 Mar 2026, finished Millwall 1–2 Blackburn, a win for Blackburn.
Millwall 1–2 Blackburn14 Mar 2026
Blackburn 2–0 Millwall20 Dec 2025
Blackburn 4–1 Millwall18 Apr 2025
Millwall 1–0 Blackburn21 Dec 2024
Blackburn 1–1 Millwall5 Mar 2024
Millwall 1–2 Blackburn24 Oct 2023
Season averages per game
BLMI
1.58Goals1.58
1.33Conceded1.67
1.02xG1.77
1.75xG against1.33
11.6Shots13.9
4.1On target3.9
6.2Corners5.8
2.50Yellow cards2.00
25%Clean sheets33%
75%Both score50%
75%3+ goals75%