Charlton vs Derby result and stats
Win probability: home 32%, draw 30%, away 38%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersCharlton beat Derby 2–1 at home in the Championship on Saturday 15 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Charlton 32%, the draw 30% and Derby 38%, so a home win had a 32% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Charlton 0.97, Derby 1.00, so Derby created the better chances. Charlton had 13 shots (4 on target) to Derby's 15 (4 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
CHDE
0.97Expected goals1.00
13Shots15
4On target4
5Corners4
7Fouls16
0Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Referee: B Speedie
Recent form
Charlton
L @ Swansea1–3 · 2 May
W v Hull2–1 · 25 Apr
L v Ipswich1–2 · 22 Apr
D @ Sheffield Wednesday1–1 · 18 Apr
L v Preston1–2 · 11 Apr
Derby
L v Sheffield United1–2 · 2 May
W @ QPR3–2 · 25 Apr
L @ Norwich1–2 · 21 Apr
W v Oxford1–0 · 18 Apr
L @ Southampton1–2 · 11 Apr
Head to head
In 2 league meetings since 2025, Charlton won 0, Derby won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 20 Jan 2026, finished Charlton 1–2 Derby, a win for Derby.
Charlton 1–2 Derby20 Jan 2026
Derby 1–1 Charlton30 Sep 2025
Season averages per game
CHDE
0.92Goals0.83
1.50Conceded1.75
0.99xG0.98
1.55xG against1.76
10.0Shots12.6
3.0On target3.8
4.4Corners5.7
2.08Yellow cards2.42
25%Clean sheets8%
58%Both score58%
50%3+ goals50%