Portsmouth vs Derby result and stats
Win probability: home 35%, draw 27%, away 38%

Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersDerby won 2–0 away at Portsmouth in the Championship on Tuesday 1 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Portsmouth 35%, the draw 27% and Derby 38%, so an away win had a 38% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Portsmouth 0.84, Derby 0.54, so Portsmouth created the better chances. Portsmouth had 21 shots (3 on target) to Derby's 8 (5 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
PODE
0.84Expected goals0.54
21Shots8
3On target5
11Corners2
12Fouls15
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Referee: S Allison
Recent form
Portsmouth
L @ Bristol City1–2 · 29 Aug
W @ Lincoln3–1 · 22 Aug
L v QPR1–3 · 15 Aug
D v Birmingham1–1 · 2 May
W @ Stoke3–1 · 25 Apr
Derby
L v Swansea0–3 · 29 Aug
D v Cardiff2–2 · 22 Aug
L @ Charlton1–2 · 15 Aug
L v Sheffield United1–2 · 2 May
W @ QPR3–2 · 25 Apr
Head to head
In 4 league meetings since 2024, Portsmouth won 0, Derby won 2 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 16 Mar 2026, finished Portsmouth 0–1 Derby, a win for Derby.
Portsmouth 0–1 Derby16 Mar 2026
Derby 1–1 Portsmouth20 Dec 2025
Portsmouth 2–2 Derby12 Apr 2025
Derby 4–0 Portsmouth13 Dec 2024
Season averages per game
PODE
1.33Goals0.83
1.25Conceded1.75
1.31xG0.98
1.14xG against1.76
14.6Shots12.6
3.9On target3.8
5.9Corners5.7
1.50Yellow cards2.42
25%Clean sheets8%
58%Both score58%
50%3+ goals50%