QPR vs Derby result and stats
Win probability: home 39%, draw 27%, away 34%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersQPR beat Derby 4–1 at home in the Championship on Wednesday 14 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave QPR 39%, the draw 27% and Derby 34%, so a home win had a 39% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished QPR 1.52, Derby 0.86, so QPR created the better chances. QPR had 9 shots (7 on target) to Derby's 15 (6 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
QPDE
1.52Expected goals0.86
9Shots15
7On target6
1Corners3
10Fouls10
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
3Half-time goals0
Referee: M Corlett
Recent form
QPR
D @ West Ham1–1 · 9 Oct
D v Preston2–2 · 19 Sep
D @ West Brom1–1 · 12 Sep
D @ Charlton0–0 · 9 Sep
L v Middlesbrough0–1 · 5 Sep
Derby
D v Wrexham1–1 · 10 Oct
D @ Burnley1–1 · 19 Sep
L v Birmingham1–2 · 12 Sep
L v West Brom0–1 · 9 Sep
L @ West Ham0–3 · 5 Sep
Head to head
In 6 league meetings since 2021, QPR won 3, Derby won 3 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 25 Apr 2026, finished QPR 2–3 Derby, a win for Derby.
QPR 2–3 Derby25 Apr 2026
Derby 1–0 QPR25 Oct 2025
QPR 4–0 Derby14 Feb 2025
Derby 2–0 QPR5 Oct 2024
QPR 1–0 Derby18 Apr 2022
Derby 1–2 QPR29 Nov 2021
Season averages per game
QPDE
1.67Goals0.83
1.00Conceded1.75
1.74xG0.98
1.13xG against1.76
14.6Shots12.6
5.1On target3.8
5.5Corners5.7
1.92Yellow cards2.42
25%Clean sheets8%
58%Both score58%
58%3+ goals50%