Ajax vs Excelsior result and stats
Win probability: home 79%, draw 13%, away 8%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersExcelsior won 2–1 away at Ajax in the Eredivisie on Saturday 22 November 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Ajax 79%, the draw 13% and Excelsior 8%, so an away win had a 8% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
AJEX
15Shots8
5On target4
9Corners2
4Fouls13
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Recent form
Ajax
L @ Utrecht1–2 · 9 Nov
D v Heerenveen1–1 · 1 Nov
W @ Twente3–2 · 26 Oct
L v AZ Alkmaar0–2 · 18 Oct
D @ Sparta Rotterdam3–3 · 4 Oct
Excelsior
L v Heracles1–2 · 8 Nov
D @ Telstar2–2 · 1 Nov
L @ Go Ahead Eagles0–2 · 26 Oct
W v Fortuna Sittard1–0 · 19 Oct
L @ Heerenveen1–2 · 4 Oct
Head to head
In 4 league meetings since 2022, Ajax won 2, Excelsior won 0 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 24 Apr 2024, was a 2–2 draw.
Ajax 2–2 Excelsior24 Apr 2024
Excelsior 2–2 Ajax19 Aug 2023
Excelsior 1–4 Ajax29 Jan 2023
Ajax 7–1 Excelsior16 Oct 2022