Ajax
Ajax are 2nd in the Eredivisie with 21 points from 10 games (6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats), having scored 29 and conceded 13.
They average 2.42 expected goals for and 1.34 against per game, and GossipBall ranks them 3rd of 18 teams in the league on its ratings.
Simulating the rest of the season 10,000 times, GossipBall expects Ajax to finish with about 64 points, with a 4% chance of winning the league, 79% of a top-four finish and 0% of finishing in the bottom three.
Next up: home to AZ Alkmaar on Saturday 31 October 2026, where GossipBall gives Ajax a 49% chance of winning.
3 / 18GOSSIPBALL rating rank
2.42xG per game
1.34xG against per game
20%clean sheets
64.2expected final points
4%chance to win the league
Next matches
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
Win probability: home 49%, draw 25%, away 25%
Likeliest score 1–1
Twente vs Ajax prediction (Eredivisie):
Twente
Ajax
Win probability: home 42%, draw 27%, away 31%
Likeliest score 1–1
Results this season
25 Oct
Sparta Rotterdam1
Ajax2
Called correctly
Win probability: home 23%, draw 25%, away 52%
1.2–1.4match xG
Groningen 2–5 Ajax result and stats:
18 Oct
Groningen2
Ajax5
Called correctly
Win probability: home 27%, draw 26%, away 47%
2.4–3.1match xG
Ajax 1–1 NEC Nijmegen result and stats:
10 Oct
Ajax1
NEC Nijmegen1
Upset
Win probability: home 57%, draw 22%, away 21%
1.8–1.1match xG
Ajax 2–2 Excelsior result and stats:
19 Sep
Ajax2
Excelsior2
Upset
Win probability: home 66%, draw 20%, away 13%
2.4–0.8match xG
Ajax 5–1 Willem II result and stats:
15 Sep
Ajax5
Willem II1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 76%, draw 16%, away 7%
3.8–1.6match xG
Fortuna Sittard 1–5 Ajax result and stats:
12 Sep
Fortuna Sittard1
Ajax5
Called correctly
Win probability: home 20%, draw 25%, away 55%
0.7–4.1match xG
Ajax 1–3 PSV Eindhoven result and stats:
5 Sep
Ajax1
PSV Eindhoven3
Called correctly
Win probability: home 31%, draw 23%, away 45%
2.0–2.5match xG
Telstar 0–4 Ajax result and stats:
30 Aug
Telstar0
Ajax4
Called correctly
Win probability: home 27%, draw 26%, away 47%
1.1–2.1match xG
Ajax 2–2 Heerenveen result and stats:
16 Aug
Ajax2
Heerenveen2
Upset
Win probability: home 64%, draw 21%, away 15%
2.0–1.4match xG
Zwolle 0–2 Ajax result and stats:
9 Aug
Zwolle0
Ajax2
Called correctly
Win probability: home 21%, draw 24%, away 56%
0.6–1.5match xG
Season stats per game
Goals scored2.90
Goals conceded1.30
Expected goals (xG)2.42
xG against1.34
Shots22.2
Shots on target7.6
Shots on target against4.1
Conversion (goals per shot on target)38%
Corners6.7
Fouls9.3
Yellow cards1.90
Red cards0.00
Clean sheets20%
Both teams scored80%
3 or more goals80%
Failed to score0%
GOSSIPBALL rating
Attack (vs league average)+0.35
Defence (positive = concedes less)+0.26
Overall+0.61