Groningen vs Ajax result and stats
Win probability: home 27%, draw 26%, away 47%

Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersAjax won 5–2 away at Groningen in the Eredivisie on Sunday 18 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Groningen 27%, the draw 26% and Ajax 47%, so an away win had a 47% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Groningen 2.36, Ajax 3.08, so Ajax created the better chances. Groningen had 16 shots (5 on target) to Ajax's 15 (11 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
GRAJ
2.36Expected goals3.08
16Shots15
5On target11
7Corners4
12Fouls17
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals2
Recent form
Groningen
W @ Excelsior5–1 · 11 Oct
W v Zwolle3–0 · 18 Sep
D @ Go Ahead Eagles1–1 · 12 Sep
D v Twente2–2 · 6 Sep
L v Fortuna Sittard2–3 · 28 Aug
Ajax
D v NEC Nijmegen1–1 · 10 Oct
D v Excelsior2–2 · 19 Sep
W v Willem II5–1 · 15 Sep
W @ Fortuna Sittard5–1 · 12 Sep
L v PSV Eindhoven1–3 · 5 Sep
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Groningen won 1, Ajax won 6 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 7 Mar 2026, finished Groningen 3–1 Ajax, a win for Groningen.
Groningen 3–1 Ajax7 Mar 2026
Ajax 2–0 Groningen2 Dec 2025
Groningen 2–2 Ajax14 May 2025
Ajax 3–1 Groningen6 Oct 2024
Groningen 2–3 Ajax14 May 2023
Ajax 6–1 Groningen14 Aug 2022
Season averages per game
GRAJ
2.40Goals2.90
2.10Conceded1.30
1.71xG2.42
1.98xG against1.34
14.3Shots22.2
5.5On target7.6
4.6Corners6.7
1.20Yellow cards1.90
10%Clean sheets20%
90%Both score80%
90%3+ goals80%