Ajax vs Willem II result and stats
Win probability: home 76%, draw 16%, away 7%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersAjax beat Willem II 5–1 at home in the Eredivisie on Tuesday 15 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Ajax 76%, the draw 16% and Willem II 7%, so a home win had a 76% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Ajax 3.78, Willem II 1.58, so Ajax created the better chances. Ajax had 33 shots (12 on target) to Willem II's 10 (4 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
AJWI
3.78Expected goals1.58
33Shots10
12On target4
14Corners2
6Fouls3
0Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
2Half-time goals0
Recent form
Ajax
W @ Fortuna Sittard5–1 · 12 Sep
L v PSV Eindhoven1–3 · 5 Sep
W @ Telstar4–0 · 30 Aug
D v Heerenveen2–2 · 16 Aug
W @ Zwolle2–0 · 9 Aug
Willem II
D @ AZ Alkmaar1–1 · 11 Sep
L v Excelsior0–3 · 5 Sep
D v Heerenveen2–2 · 30 Aug
L v NEC Nijmegen1–4 · 15 Aug
L @ Go Ahead Eagles1–4 · 8 Aug
Head to head
In 4 league meetings since 2021, Ajax won 4, Willem II won 0 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 13 Apr 2025, finished Willem II 1–2 Ajax, a win for Ajax.
Willem II 1–2 Ajax13 Apr 2025
Ajax 1–0 Willem II27 Oct 2024
Willem II 0–1 Ajax19 Feb 2022
Ajax 5–0 Willem II2 Dec 2021
Season averages per game
AJWI
2.90Goals1.00
1.30Conceded3.20
2.42xG1.18
1.34xG against2.25
22.2Shots11.6
7.6On target2.7
6.7Corners4.8
1.90Yellow cards1.40
20%Clean sheets0%
80%Both score80%
80%3+ goals80%