Ajax vs Excelsior result and stats
Win probability: home 66%, draw 20%, away 13%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersAjax and Excelsior drew 2–2 in the Eredivisie on Saturday 19 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Ajax 66%, the draw 20% and Excelsior 13%, so a draw had a 20% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Ajax 2.36, Excelsior 0.82, so Ajax created the better chances. Ajax had 33 shots (8 on target) to Excelsior's 4 (2 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
AJEX
2.36Expected goals0.82
33Shots4
8On target2
9Corners0
6Fouls12
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals1
Recent form
Ajax
W v Willem II5–1 · 15 Sep
W @ Fortuna Sittard5–1 · 12 Sep
L v PSV Eindhoven1–3 · 5 Sep
W @ Telstar4–0 · 30 Aug
D v Heerenveen2–2 · 16 Aug
Excelsior
L v Utrecht1–2 · 13 Sep
D @ NEC Nijmegen2–2 · 8 Sep
W @ Willem II3–0 · 5 Sep
W v Sparta Rotterdam2–1 · 29 Aug
L v PSV Eindhoven1–2 · 15 Aug
Head to head
In 6 league meetings since 2022, Ajax won 2, Excelsior won 1 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 1 Feb 2026, was a 2–2 draw.
Excelsior 2–2 Ajax1 Feb 2026
Ajax 1–2 Excelsior22 Nov 2025
Ajax 2–2 Excelsior24 Apr 2024
Excelsior 2–2 Ajax19 Aug 2023
Excelsior 1–4 Ajax29 Jan 2023
Ajax 7–1 Excelsior16 Oct 2022
Season averages per game
AJEX
2.90Goals1.60
1.30Conceded1.90
2.42xG1.27
1.34xG against1.55
22.2Shots10.6
7.6On target3.8
6.7Corners3.8
1.90Yellow cards1.30
20%Clean sheets20%
80%Both score60%
80%3+ goals90%