Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven result and stats
Win probability: home 31%, draw 23%, away 45%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersPSV Eindhoven won 3–1 away at Ajax in the Eredivisie on Saturday 5 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Ajax 31%, the draw 23% and PSV Eindhoven 45%, so an away win had a 45% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Ajax 1.98, PSV Eindhoven 2.55, so PSV Eindhoven created the better chances. Ajax had 19 shots (6 on target) to PSV Eindhoven's 13 (5 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
AJPE
1.98Expected goals2.55
19Shots13
6On target5
1Corners1
6Fouls13
2Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals2
Recent form
Ajax
W @ Telstar4–0 · 30 Aug
D v Heerenveen2–2 · 16 Aug
W @ Zwolle2–0 · 9 Aug
D @ Heerenveen0–0 · 17 May
L v Utrecht1–2 · 10 May
PSV Eindhoven
W @ Utrecht6–1 · 30 Aug
W v Groningen5–1 · 23 Aug
W @ Excelsior2–1 · 15 Aug
D v Fortuna Sittard2–2 · 8 Aug
W v Twente5–1 · 17 May
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Ajax won 4, PSV Eindhoven won 3 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 2 May 2026, was a 2–2 draw.
Ajax 2–2 PSV Eindhoven2 May 2026
PSV Eindhoven 2–2 Ajax21 Sep 2025
PSV Eindhoven 0–2 Ajax30 Mar 2025
Ajax 3–2 PSV Eindhoven2 Nov 2024
Ajax 1–1 PSV Eindhoven3 Feb 2024
PSV Eindhoven 5–2 Ajax29 Oct 2023
Season averages per game
AJPE
2.90Goals2.80
1.30Conceded1.30
2.42xG2.45
1.34xG against1.37
22.2Shots19.6
7.6On target7.1
6.7Corners6.5
1.90Yellow cards1.80
20%Clean sheets10%
80%Both score90%
80%3+ goals80%