Ajax vs Heerenveen result and stats
Win probability: home 64%, draw 21%, away 15%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersAjax and Heerenveen drew 2–2 in the Eredivisie on Sunday 16 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Ajax 64%, the draw 21% and Heerenveen 15%, so a draw had a 21% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Ajax 2.00, Heerenveen 1.37, so Ajax created the better chances. Ajax had 23 shots (4 on target) to Heerenveen's 14 (8 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
AJHE
2.00Expected goals1.37
23Shots14
4On target8
7Corners2
8Fouls10
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Half-time goals1
Recent form
Ajax
W @ Zwolle2–0 · 9 Aug
D @ Heerenveen0–0 · 17 May
L v Utrecht1–2 · 10 May
D v PSV Eindhoven2–2 · 2 May
W @ NAC Breda2–0 · 25 Apr
Heerenveen
W v Twente1–0 · 9 Aug
D v Ajax0–0 · 17 May
L @ NAC Breda0–2 · 10 May
W @ Volendam2–0 · 3 May
W v Fortuna Sittard2–1 · 25 Apr
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Ajax won 7, Heerenveen won 1 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 17 May 2026, was a 0–0 draw.
Heerenveen 0–0 Ajax17 May 2026
Ajax 1–1 Heerenveen1 Nov 2025
Heerenveen 0–2 Ajax19 Jan 2025
Ajax 1–0 Heerenveen11 Aug 2024
Heerenveen 3–2 Ajax11 Feb 2024
Ajax 4–1 Heerenveen5 Nov 2023
Season averages per game
AJHE
2.90Goals1.80
1.30Conceded1.30
2.42xG1.50
1.34xG against1.45
22.2Shots15.3
7.6On target5.9
6.7Corners4.8
1.90Yellow cards0.90
20%Clean sheets40%
80%Both score40%
80%3+ goals60%