Ajax vs NAC Breda result and stats
Win probability: home 75%, draw 16%, away 8%

Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersAjax beat NAC Breda 2–1 at home in the Eredivisie on Saturday 27 September 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Ajax 75%, the draw 16% and NAC Breda 8%, so a home win had a 75% chance. The favourite result came in.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
AJNB
12Shots17
7On target7
2Corners7
11Fouls14
2Yellow cards4
0Red cards1
1Half-time goals1
Recent form
Ajax
D @ PSV Eindhoven2–2 · 21 Sep
W v Zwolle3–1 · 13 Sep
D @ Volendam1–1 · 30 Aug
W v Heracles2–0 · 24 Aug
D @ Go Ahead Eagles2–2 · 17 Aug
NAC Breda
W v Heracles2–1 · 20 Sep
D @ Twente2–2 · 13 Sep
L v AZ Alkmaar0–1 · 31 Aug
L @ NEC Nijmegen0–3 · 24 Aug
W v Fortuna Sittard2–1 · 17 Aug
Head to head
In 2 league meetings since 2024, Ajax won 1, NAC Breda won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 6 Apr 2025, finished Ajax 3–1 NAC Breda, a win for Ajax.
Ajax 3–1 NAC Breda6 Apr 2025
NAC Breda 2–1 Ajax18 Aug 2024