GossipBall
EredivisieSaturday 21 February 2026 ·

Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen result and stats

56%
test home win
1–1
full time
20%
draw
24%
test away win
Win probability: home 56%, draw 20%, away 24%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Ajax and NEC Nijmegen drew 1–1 in the Eredivisie on Saturday 21 February 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Ajax 56%, the draw 20% and NEC Nijmegen 24%, so a draw had a 20% chance. It would have been an upset.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

AJNN
9
Shots
18
4
On target
9
6
Corners
7
7
Fouls
16
1
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
0
1
Half-time goals
0

Recent form

Ajax
W v Fortuna Sittard4–1 · 14 Feb
D @ AZ Alkmaar1–1 · 8 Feb
D @ Excelsior2–2 · 1 Feb
W v Volendam2–0 · 24 Jan
D v Go Ahead Eagles2–2 · 17 Jan
NEC Nijmegen
D @ Sparta Rotterdam1–1 · 17 Feb
L v Utrecht1–3 · 11 Feb
W v Heracles4–1 · 7 Feb
W @ AZ Alkmaar3–1 · 31 Jan
W v Zwolle2–1 · 24 Jan

Head to head

In 9 league meetings since 2021, Ajax won 5, NEC Nijmegen won 1 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 20 Dec 2025, was a 2–2 draw.

NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Ajax20 Dec 2025
Ajax 0–3 NEC Nijmegen11 May 2025
NEC Nijmegen 1–2 Ajax1 Dec 2024
Ajax 2–2 NEC Nijmegen18 Feb 2024
NEC Nijmegen 1–2 Ajax3 Dec 2023
Ajax 1–0 NEC Nijmegen5 Mar 2023

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Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]