AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior result and stats
Win probability: home 73%, draw 17%, away 11%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersAZ Alkmaar and Excelsior drew 1–1 in the Eredivisie on Wednesday 21 January 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave AZ Alkmaar 73%, the draw 17% and Excelsior 11%, so a draw had a 17% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
AAEX
13Shots8
4On target2
4Corners5
8Fouls10
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Recent form
AZ Alkmaar
L @ Zwolle1–3 · 17 Jan
W v Volendam1–0 · 10 Jan
L @ Fortuna Sittard3–4 · 21 Dec
D v Go Ahead Eagles2–2 · 7 Dec
L @ Twente0–1 · 30 Nov
Excelsior
D v Telstar2–2 · 17 Jan
L @ PSV Eindhoven1–5 · 10 Jan
W v Zwolle2–1 · 20 Dec
L v Groningen0–2 · 5 Dec
W v NAC Breda1–0 · 29 Nov
Head to head
In 4 league meetings since 2022, AZ Alkmaar won 2, Excelsior won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 10 Mar 2024, finished AZ Alkmaar 4–0 Excelsior, a win for AZ Alkmaar.
AZ Alkmaar 4–0 Excelsior10 Mar 2024
Excelsior 1–1 AZ Alkmaar4 Nov 2023
AZ Alkmaar 5–0 Excelsior10 Feb 2023
Excelsior 2–1 AZ Alkmaar23 Oct 2022