AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda result and stats
Win probability: home 68%, draw 21%, away 10%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersAZ Alkmaar and NAC Breda drew 3–3 in the Eredivisie on Sunday 17 May 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave AZ Alkmaar 68%, the draw 21% and NAC Breda 10%, so a draw had a 21% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
AANB
16Shots17
10On target11
7Corners6
11Fouls6
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Half-time goals0
Recent form
AZ Alkmaar
D @ Feyenoord1–1 · 10 May
D v Twente2–2 · 3 May
D @ Go Ahead Eagles0–0 · 23 Apr
W v Heerenveen3–0 · 12 Apr
W v Fortuna Sittard2–0 · 4 Apr
NAC Breda
W v Heerenveen2–0 · 10 May
L @ Utrecht0–2 · 2 May
L v Ajax0–2 · 25 Apr
D @ Fortuna Sittard1–1 · 12 Apr
D v Sparta Rotterdam0–0 · 5 Apr
Head to head
In 3 league meetings since 2024, AZ Alkmaar won 2, NAC Breda won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 31 Aug 2025, finished NAC Breda 0–1 AZ Alkmaar, a win for AZ Alkmaar.
NAC Breda 0–1 AZ Alkmaar31 Aug 2025
AZ Alkmaar 1–1 NAC Breda24 Apr 2025
NAC Breda 1–2 AZ Alkmaar15 Dec 2024