AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen result and stats
Win probability: home 49%, draw 22%, away 29%

Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersNEC Nijmegen won 3–1 away at AZ Alkmaar in the Eredivisie on Saturday 31 January 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave AZ Alkmaar 49%, the draw 22% and NEC Nijmegen 29%, so an away win had a 29% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
AANN
11Shots19
2On target8
3Corners3
15Fouls16
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals2
Recent form
AZ Alkmaar
W @ Telstar1–0 · 25 Jan
D v Excelsior1–1 · 21 Jan
L @ Zwolle1–3 · 17 Jan
W v Volendam1–0 · 10 Jan
L @ Fortuna Sittard3–4 · 21 Dec
NEC Nijmegen
W v Zwolle2–1 · 24 Jan
W @ NAC Breda4–3 · 17 Jan
D v Ajax2–2 · 20 Dec
D @ Telstar2–2 · 13 Dec
W @ Volendam3–2 · 7 Dec
Head to head
In 9 league meetings since 2021, AZ Alkmaar won 4, NEC Nijmegen won 2 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 28 Sep 2025, finished NEC Nijmegen 2–1 AZ Alkmaar, a win for NEC Nijmegen.
NEC Nijmegen 2–1 AZ Alkmaar28 Sep 2025
NEC Nijmegen 3–3 AZ Alkmaar29 Mar 2025
AZ Alkmaar 1–0 NEC Nijmegen17 Aug 2024
NEC Nijmegen 0–3 AZ Alkmaar28 Apr 2024
AZ Alkmaar 1–2 NEC Nijmegen6 Dec 2023
NEC Nijmegen 0–3 AZ Alkmaar21 May 2023