GossipBall
EredivisieSaturday 31 January 2026 ·

AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen result and stats

49%
test home win
1–3
full time
22%
draw
29%
test away win
Win probability: home 49%, draw 22%, away 29%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

NEC Nijmegen won 3–1 away at AZ Alkmaar in the Eredivisie on Saturday 31 January 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave AZ Alkmaar 49%, the draw 22% and NEC Nijmegen 29%, so an away win had a 29% chance. It would have been an upset.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

AANN
11
Shots
19
2
On target
8
3
Corners
3
15
Fouls
16
1
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
0
1
Half-time goals
2

Recent form

AZ Alkmaar
W @ Telstar1–0 · 25 Jan
D v Excelsior1–1 · 21 Jan
L @ Zwolle1–3 · 17 Jan
W v Volendam1–0 · 10 Jan
L @ Fortuna Sittard3–4 · 21 Dec
NEC Nijmegen
W v Zwolle2–1 · 24 Jan
W @ NAC Breda4–3 · 17 Jan
D v Ajax2–2 · 20 Dec
D @ Telstar2–2 · 13 Dec
W @ Volendam3–2 · 7 Dec

Head to head

In 9 league meetings since 2021, AZ Alkmaar won 4, NEC Nijmegen won 2 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 28 Sep 2025, finished NEC Nijmegen 2–1 AZ Alkmaar, a win for NEC Nijmegen.

NEC Nijmegen 2–1 AZ Alkmaar28 Sep 2025
NEC Nijmegen 3–3 AZ Alkmaar29 Mar 2025
AZ Alkmaar 1–0 NEC Nijmegen17 Aug 2024
NEC Nijmegen 0–3 AZ Alkmaar28 Apr 2024
AZ Alkmaar 1–2 NEC Nijmegen6 Dec 2023
NEC Nijmegen 0–3 AZ Alkmaar21 May 2023

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Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]