Excelsior vs Ajax result and stats
Win probability: home 18%, draw 21%, away 61%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersExcelsior and Ajax drew 2–2 in the Eredivisie on Sunday 1 February 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Excelsior 18%, the draw 21% and Ajax 61%, so a draw had a 21% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
EXAJ
11Shots9
5On target3
4Corners1
12Fouls5
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals2
Recent form
Excelsior
D @ Twente0–0 · 24 Jan
D @ AZ Alkmaar1–1 · 21 Jan
D v Telstar2–2 · 17 Jan
L @ PSV Eindhoven1–5 · 10 Jan
W v Zwolle2–1 · 20 Dec
Ajax
W v Volendam2–0 · 24 Jan
D v Go Ahead Eagles2–2 · 17 Jan
W @ Telstar3–2 · 11 Jan
D @ NEC Nijmegen2–2 · 20 Dec
W v Feyenoord2–0 · 14 Dec
Head to head
In 5 league meetings since 2022, Excelsior won 1, Ajax won 2 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 22 Nov 2025, finished Ajax 1–2 Excelsior, a win for Excelsior.
Ajax 1–2 Excelsior22 Nov 2025
Ajax 2–2 Excelsior24 Apr 2024
Excelsior 2–2 Ajax19 Aug 2023
Excelsior 1–4 Ajax29 Jan 2023
Ajax 7–1 Excelsior16 Oct 2022