GossipBall
EredivisieSaturday 14 February 2026 ·

Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar result and stats

25%
test home win
1–2
full time
24%
draw
51%
test away win
Win probability: home 25%, draw 24%, away 51%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

AZ Alkmaar won 2–1 away at Excelsior in the Eredivisie on Saturday 14 February 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Excelsior 25%, the draw 24% and AZ Alkmaar 51%, so an away win had a 51% chance. The favourite result came in.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

EXAA
11
Shots
16
2
On target
7
7
Corners
5
7
Fouls
6
1
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
0
1
Half-time goals
0

Recent form

Excelsior
W @ NAC Breda2–0 · 6 Feb
D v Ajax2–2 · 1 Feb
D @ Twente0–0 · 24 Jan
D @ AZ Alkmaar1–1 · 21 Jan
D v Telstar2–2 · 17 Jan
AZ Alkmaar
D v Ajax1–1 · 8 Feb
L v NEC Nijmegen1–3 · 31 Jan
W @ Telstar1–0 · 25 Jan
D v Excelsior1–1 · 21 Jan
L @ Zwolle1–3 · 17 Jan

Head to head

In 5 league meetings since 2022, Excelsior won 1, AZ Alkmaar won 2 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 21 Jan 2026, was a 1–1 draw.

AZ Alkmaar 1–1 Excelsior21 Jan 2026
AZ Alkmaar 4–0 Excelsior10 Mar 2024
Excelsior 1–1 AZ Alkmaar4 Nov 2023
AZ Alkmaar 5–0 Excelsior10 Feb 2023
Excelsior 2–1 AZ Alkmaar23 Oct 2022

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Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]