GossipBall
EredivisieSaturday 7 March 2026 ·

Excelsior vs Heerenveen result and stats

35%
test home win
1–2
full time
26%
draw
39%
test away win
Win probability: home 35%, draw 26%, away 39%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Heerenveen won 2–1 away at Excelsior in the Eredivisie on Saturday 7 March 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Excelsior 35%, the draw 26% and Heerenveen 39%, so an away win had a 39% chance. The favourite result came in.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

EXHE
21
Shots
10
5
On target
5
6
Corners
8
4
Fouls
7
1
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
0
0
Half-time goals
1

Recent form

Excelsior
L v Go Ahead Eagles0–1 · 1 Mar
L @ Fortuna Sittard1–2 · 20 Feb
L v AZ Alkmaar1–2 · 14 Feb
W @ NAC Breda2–0 · 6 Feb
D v Ajax2–2 · 1 Feb
Heerenveen
W v Sparta Rotterdam2–1 · 28 Feb
L @ PSV Eindhoven1–3 · 21 Feb
W v Zwolle4–2 · 15 Feb
W @ Go Ahead Eagles3–1 · 11 Feb
L @ Twente0–5 · 7 Feb

Head to head

In 5 league meetings since 2022, Excelsior won 2, Heerenveen won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 4 Oct 2025, finished Heerenveen 2–1 Excelsior, a win for Heerenveen.

Heerenveen 2–1 Excelsior4 Oct 2025
Excelsior 3–0 Heerenveen19 Jan 2024
Heerenveen 0–3 Excelsior23 Sep 2023
Heerenveen 0–0 Excelsior13 May 2023
Excelsior 0–1 Heerenveen5 Nov 2022

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Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]