GossipBall
EredivisieSaturday 7 March 2026 ·

Groningen vs Ajax result and stats

24%
test home win
3–1
full time
25%
draw
51%
test away win
Win probability: home 24%, draw 25%, away 51%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Groningen beat Ajax 3–1 at home in the Eredivisie on Saturday 7 March 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Groningen 24%, the draw 25% and Ajax 51%, so a home win had a 24% chance. It would have been an upset.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

GRAJ
13
Shots
13
6
On target
5
6
Corners
8
5
Fouls
7
1
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
0
1
Half-time goals
1

Recent form

Groningen
L @ Volendam2–3 · 1 Mar
L @ Twente1–2 · 22 Feb
L v Utrecht1–2 · 14 Feb
L v PSV Eindhoven1–2 · 8 Feb
L @ Sparta Rotterdam0–2 · 31 Jan
Ajax
D @ Zwolle0–0 · 1 Mar
D v NEC Nijmegen1–1 · 21 Feb
W v Fortuna Sittard4–1 · 14 Feb
D @ AZ Alkmaar1–1 · 8 Feb
D @ Excelsior2–2 · 1 Feb

Head to head

In 7 league meetings since 2021, Groningen won 0, Ajax won 6 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 2 Dec 2025, finished Ajax 2–0 Groningen, a win for Ajax.

Ajax 2–0 Groningen2 Dec 2025
Groningen 2–2 Ajax14 May 2025
Ajax 3–1 Groningen6 Oct 2024
Groningen 2–3 Ajax14 May 2023
Ajax 6–1 Groningen14 Aug 2022
Groningen 1–3 Ajax2 Apr 2022

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]