Groningen vs Ajax result and stats
Win probability: home 24%, draw 25%, away 51%

Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGroningen beat Ajax 3–1 at home in the Eredivisie on Saturday 7 March 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Groningen 24%, the draw 25% and Ajax 51%, so a home win had a 24% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
GRAJ
13Shots13
6On target5
6Corners8
5Fouls7
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals1
Recent form
Groningen
L @ Volendam2–3 · 1 Mar
L @ Twente1–2 · 22 Feb
L v Utrecht1–2 · 14 Feb
L v PSV Eindhoven1–2 · 8 Feb
L @ Sparta Rotterdam0–2 · 31 Jan
Ajax
D @ Zwolle0–0 · 1 Mar
D v NEC Nijmegen1–1 · 21 Feb
W v Fortuna Sittard4–1 · 14 Feb
D @ AZ Alkmaar1–1 · 8 Feb
D @ Excelsior2–2 · 1 Feb
Head to head
In 7 league meetings since 2021, Groningen won 0, Ajax won 6 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 2 Dec 2025, finished Ajax 2–0 Groningen, a win for Ajax.
Ajax 2–0 Groningen2 Dec 2025
Groningen 2–2 Ajax14 May 2025
Ajax 3–1 Groningen6 Oct 2024
Groningen 2–3 Ajax14 May 2023
Ajax 6–1 Groningen14 Aug 2022
Groningen 1–3 Ajax2 Apr 2022