GossipBall
EredivisieSaturday 4 October 2025 ·

Heerenveen vs Excelsior result and stats

56%
test home win
2–1
full time
22%
draw
22%
test away win
Win probability: home 56%, draw 22%, away 22%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Heerenveen beat Excelsior 2–1 at home in the Eredivisie on Saturday 4 October 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Heerenveen 56%, the draw 22% and Excelsior 22%, so a home win had a 56% chance. The favourite result came in.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

HEEX
19
Shots
9
4
On target
2
7
Corners
3
6
Fouls
17
1
Yellow cards
3
0
Red cards
0
0
Half-time goals
1

Recent form

Heerenveen
D @ Utrecht2–2 · 28 Sep
W v NEC Nijmegen3–2 · 21 Sep
L @ Feyenoord0–1 · 13 Sep
D v Go Ahead Eagles2–2 · 30 Aug
L v Twente1–2 · 24 Aug
Excelsior
L v PSV Eindhoven1–2 · 27 Sep
W @ Volendam2–1 · 20 Sep
L v Sparta Rotterdam0–1 · 14 Sep
W v Twente1–0 · 30 Aug
L @ Utrecht1–4 · 24 Aug

Head to head

In 4 league meetings since 2022, Heerenveen won 1, Excelsior won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 19 Jan 2024, finished Excelsior 3–0 Heerenveen, a win for Excelsior.

Excelsior 3–0 Heerenveen19 Jan 2024
Heerenveen 0–3 Excelsior23 Sep 2023
Heerenveen 0–0 Excelsior13 May 2023
Excelsior 0–1 Heerenveen5 Nov 2022

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Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]