Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen result and stats
Win probability: home 31%, draw 24%, away 45%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersHeerenveen beat NEC Nijmegen 3–2 at home in the Eredivisie on Sunday 21 September 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Heerenveen 31%, the draw 24% and NEC Nijmegen 45%, so a home win had a 31% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
HENN
14Shots11
8On target6
6Corners6
10Fouls14
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards1
1Half-time goals0
Recent form
Heerenveen
L @ Feyenoord0–1 · 13 Sep
D v Go Ahead Eagles2–2 · 30 Aug
L v Twente1–2 · 24 Aug
L @ Groningen1–2 · 16 Aug
D v Volendam1–1 · 9 Aug
NEC Nijmegen
L v PSV Eindhoven3–5 · 13 Sep
L @ Fortuna Sittard2–3 · 31 Aug
W v NAC Breda3–0 · 24 Aug
W @ Heracles4–1 · 16 Aug
W v Excelsior5–0 · 9 Aug
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Heerenveen won 2, NEC Nijmegen won 3 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 27 Apr 2025, finished Heerenveen 1–0 NEC Nijmegen, a win for Heerenveen.
Heerenveen 1–0 NEC Nijmegen27 Apr 2025
NEC Nijmegen 3–0 Heerenveen19 Oct 2024
NEC Nijmegen 2–0 Heerenveen10 Mar 2024
Heerenveen 1–1 NEC Nijmegen7 Oct 2023
NEC Nijmegen 2–3 Heerenveen6 May 2023
Heerenveen 0–0 NEC Nijmegen4 Sep 2022