GossipBall
EredivisieSunday 28 September 2025 ·

NEC Nijmegen vs AZ Alkmaar result and stats

37%
test home win
2–1
full time
24%
draw
39%
test away win
Win probability: home 37%, draw 24%, away 39%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

NEC Nijmegen beat AZ Alkmaar 2–1 at home in the Eredivisie on Sunday 28 September 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave NEC Nijmegen 37%, the draw 24% and AZ Alkmaar 39%, so a home win had a 37% chance. It would have been an upset.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

NNAA
14
Shots
7
4
On target
2
5
Corners
4
14
Fouls
16
1
Yellow cards
6
0
Red cards
1
1
Half-time goals
0

Recent form

NEC Nijmegen
L @ Heerenveen2–3 · 21 Sep
L v PSV Eindhoven3–5 · 13 Sep
L @ Fortuna Sittard2–3 · 31 Aug
W v NAC Breda3–0 · 24 Aug
W @ Heracles4–1 · 16 Aug
AZ Alkmaar
D v Zwolle2–2 · 24 Sep
D v Feyenoord3–3 · 21 Sep
W @ Heracles2–1 · 14 Sep
W @ NAC Breda1–0 · 31 Aug
D @ Volendam2–2 · 17 Aug

Head to head

In 8 league meetings since 2021, NEC Nijmegen won 1, AZ Alkmaar won 4 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 29 Mar 2025, was a 3–3 draw.

NEC Nijmegen 3–3 AZ Alkmaar29 Mar 2025
AZ Alkmaar 1–0 NEC Nijmegen17 Aug 2024
NEC Nijmegen 0–3 AZ Alkmaar28 Apr 2024
AZ Alkmaar 1–2 NEC Nijmegen6 Dec 2023
NEC Nijmegen 0–3 AZ Alkmaar21 May 2023
AZ Alkmaar 1–1 NEC Nijmegen1 Sep 2022

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Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]