AZ Alkmaar vs Twente result and stats
Win probability: home 40%, draw 28%, away 32%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersTwente won 2–0 away at AZ Alkmaar in the Eredivisie on Sunday 25 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave AZ Alkmaar 40%, the draw 28% and Twente 32%, so an away win had a 32% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished AZ Alkmaar 1.53, Twente 2.02, so Twente created the better chances. AZ Alkmaar had 13 shots (5 on target) to Twente's 16 (5 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
AATW
1.53Expected goals2.02
13Shots16
5On target5
3Corners6
17Fouls16
3Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
0Half-time goals0
Recent form
AZ Alkmaar
D @ Cambuur2–2 · 18 Oct
L @ Feyenoord0–2 · 10 Oct
W v Telstar1–0 · 20 Sep
D v Willem II1–1 · 11 Sep
W @ Heerenveen3–2 · 6 Sep
Twente
L v Utrecht1–2 · 18 Oct
D @ Fortuna Sittard1–1 · 10 Oct
W v PSV Eindhoven3–2 · 20 Sep
W v Den Haag2–0 · 12 Sep
W v Telstar1–0 · 9 Sep
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, AZ Alkmaar won 3, Twente won 5 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 3 May 2026, was a 2–2 draw.
AZ Alkmaar 2–2 Twente3 May 2026
Twente 1–0 AZ Alkmaar30 Nov 2025
Twente 2–3 AZ Alkmaar14 May 2025
AZ Alkmaar 1–0 Twente21 Dec 2024
AZ Alkmaar 2–1 Twente5 May 2024
Twente 2–1 AZ Alkmaar13 Jan 2024
Season averages per game
AATW
2.00Goals1.90
1.20Conceded1.00
2.17xG2.03
1.22xG against0.89
16.8Shots20.3
6.4On target6.9
7.5Corners7.0
1.40Yellow cards1.00
30%Clean sheets30%
50%Both score60%
40%3+ goals50%