AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II result and stats
Win probability: home 73%, draw 18%, away 9%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersAZ Alkmaar and Willem II drew 1–1 in the Eredivisie on Friday 11 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave AZ Alkmaar 73%, the draw 18% and Willem II 9%, so a draw had a 18% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished AZ Alkmaar 2.49, Willem II 0.92, so AZ Alkmaar created the better chances. AZ Alkmaar had 22 shots (5 on target) to Willem II's 8 (2 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
AAWI
2.49Expected goals0.92
22Shots8
5On target2
11Corners2
7Fouls8
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Recent form
AZ Alkmaar
W @ Heerenveen3–2 · 6 Sep
W v Go Ahead Eagles5–2 · 29 Aug
W @ Fortuna Sittard2–0 · 22 Aug
W @ Utrecht4–1 · 15 Aug
W v Den Haag2–0 · 8 Aug
Willem II
L v Excelsior0–3 · 5 Sep
D v Heerenveen2–2 · 30 Aug
L v NEC Nijmegen1–4 · 15 Aug
L @ Go Ahead Eagles1–4 · 8 Aug
D @ NAC Breda1–1 · 18 May
Head to head
In 4 league meetings since 2021, AZ Alkmaar won 2, Willem II won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 2 Feb 2025, finished Willem II 0–2 AZ Alkmaar, a win for AZ Alkmaar.
Willem II 0–2 AZ Alkmaar2 Feb 2025
AZ Alkmaar 1–2 Willem II10 Nov 2024
Willem II 2–2 AZ Alkmaar20 Mar 2022
AZ Alkmaar 4–1 Willem II18 Dec 2021
Season averages per game
AAWI
2.00Goals1.00
1.20Conceded3.20
2.17xG1.18
1.22xG against2.25
16.8Shots11.6
6.4On target2.7
7.5Corners4.8
1.40Yellow cards1.40
30%Clean sheets0%
50%Both score80%
40%3+ goals80%