Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen result and stats
Win probability: home 14%, draw 18%, away 69%

Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersCambuur beat NEC Nijmegen 3–0 at home in the Eredivisie on Saturday 12 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Cambuur 14%, the draw 18% and NEC Nijmegen 69%, so a home win had a 14% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Cambuur 3.12, NEC Nijmegen 0.94, so Cambuur created the better chances. Cambuur had 16 shots (7 on target) to NEC Nijmegen's 10 (1 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
CANN
3.12Expected goals0.94
16Shots10
7On target1
4Corners5
16Fouls18
2Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Recent form
Cambuur
D @ Telstar2–2 · 6 Sep
L v Twente1–4 · 30 Aug
L v Feyenoord2–5 · 23 Aug
L @ Fortuna Sittard1–3 · 15 Aug
L v Excelsior0–4 · 7 Aug
NEC Nijmegen
D v Excelsior2–2 · 8 Sep
L v Feyenoord1–3 · 5 Sep
W @ Zwolle3–1 · 29 Aug
W @ Willem II4–1 · 15 Aug
L v Telstar1–2 · 8 Aug
Head to head
In 4 league meetings since 2021, Cambuur won 1, NEC Nijmegen won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 11 Feb 2023, was a 0–0 draw.
NEC Nijmegen 0–0 Cambuur11 Feb 2023
Cambuur 0–1 NEC Nijmegen4 Nov 2022
Cambuur 1–2 NEC Nijmegen3 Apr 2022
NEC Nijmegen 2–3 Cambuur26 Nov 2021
Season averages per game
CANN
1.90Goals1.70
2.20Conceded1.80
1.35xG1.70
1.77xG against1.77
12.6Shots15.9
5.0On target4.7
3.8Corners6.3
1.70Yellow cards1.30
20%Clean sheets0%
70%Both score90%
80%3+ goals80%