Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven result and stats
Win probability: home 14%, draw 17%, away 69%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersPSV Eindhoven won 2–1 away at Excelsior in the Eredivisie on Saturday 15 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Excelsior 14%, the draw 17% and PSV Eindhoven 69%, so an away win had a 69% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Excelsior 0.51, PSV Eindhoven 2.24, so PSV Eindhoven created the better chances. Excelsior had 5 shots (2 on target) to PSV Eindhoven's 20 (8 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
EXPE
0.51Expected goals2.24
5Shots20
2On target8
1Corners7
9Fouls3
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Recent form
Excelsior
W @ Cambuur4–0 · 7 Aug
W @ Sparta Rotterdam3–2 · 17 May
D v Volendam1–1 · 10 May
W @ Groningen3–2 · 2 May
W v Utrecht5–0 · 26 Apr
PSV Eindhoven
D v Fortuna Sittard2–2 · 8 Aug
W v Twente5–1 · 17 May
W @ Go Ahead Eagles4–1 · 10 May
D @ Ajax2–2 · 2 May
W v Zwolle6–1 · 23 Apr
Head to head
In 6 league meetings since 2022, Excelsior won 0, PSV Eindhoven won 6 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 10 Jan 2026, finished PSV Eindhoven 5–1 Excelsior, a win for PSV Eindhoven.
PSV Eindhoven 5–1 Excelsior10 Jan 2026
Excelsior 1–2 PSV Eindhoven27 Sep 2025
Excelsior 0–2 PSV Eindhoven2 Apr 2024
PSV Eindhoven 3–1 Excelsior13 Jan 2024
PSV Eindhoven 4–0 Excelsior8 Apr 2023
Excelsior 1–6 PSV Eindhoven28 Aug 2022
Season averages per game
EXPE
1.60Goals2.80
1.90Conceded1.30
1.27xG2.45
1.55xG against1.37
10.6Shots19.6
3.8On target7.1
3.8Corners6.5
1.30Yellow cards1.80
20%Clean sheets10%
60%Both score90%
90%3+ goals80%