Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior result and stats
Win probability: home 40%, draw 28%, away 32%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersFortuna Sittard beat Excelsior 1–0 at home in the Eredivisie on Sunday 25 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Fortuna Sittard 40%, the draw 28% and Excelsior 32%, so a home win had a 40% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Fortuna Sittard 0.57, Excelsior 0.87, so Excelsior created the better chances. Fortuna Sittard had 7 shots (5 on target) to Excelsior's 6 (2 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
FSEX
0.57Expected goals0.87
7Shots6
5On target2
7Corners4
14Fouls13
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Recent form
Fortuna Sittard
D @ NEC Nijmegen2–2 · 18 Oct
D v Twente1–1 · 10 Oct
W @ Willem II1–0 · 19 Sep
L v Ajax1–5 · 12 Sep
W @ Den Haag3–2 · 6 Sep
Excelsior
L @ Heerenveen0–4 · 16 Oct
L v Groningen1–5 · 11 Oct
D @ Ajax2–2 · 19 Sep
L v Utrecht1–2 · 13 Sep
D @ NEC Nijmegen2–2 · 8 Sep
Head to head
In 6 league meetings since 2022, Fortuna Sittard won 3, Excelsior won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 20 Feb 2026, finished Fortuna Sittard 2–1 Excelsior, a win for Fortuna Sittard.
Fortuna Sittard 2–1 Excelsior20 Feb 2026
Excelsior 1–0 Fortuna Sittard19 Oct 2025
Fortuna Sittard 5–2 Excelsior3 Mar 2024
Excelsior 2–2 Fortuna Sittard26 Aug 2023
Excelsior 3–0 Fortuna Sittard21 May 2023
Fortuna Sittard 1–0 Excelsior17 Sep 2022
Season averages per game
FSEX
1.70Goals1.60
1.70Conceded1.90
0.86xG1.27
2.14xG against1.55
9.7Shots10.6
4.5On target3.8
2.7Corners3.8
1.50Yellow cards1.30
20%Clean sheets20%
70%Both score60%
60%3+ goals90%