Fortuna Sittard vs Twente result and stats
Win probability: home 20%, draw 25%, away 54%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersFortuna Sittard and Twente drew 1–1 in the Eredivisie on Saturday 10 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Fortuna Sittard 20%, the draw 25% and Twente 54%, so a draw had a 25% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Fortuna Sittard 0.85, Twente 1.17, so Twente created the better chances. Fortuna Sittard had 14 shots (5 on target) to Twente's 12 (6 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
FSTW
0.85Expected goals1.17
14Shots12
5On target6
5Corners7
9Fouls21
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals1
Recent form
Fortuna Sittard
W @ Willem II1–0 · 19 Sep
L v Ajax1–5 · 12 Sep
W @ Den Haag3–2 · 6 Sep
W @ Groningen3–2 · 28 Aug
L v AZ Alkmaar0–2 · 22 Aug
Twente
W v PSV Eindhoven3–2 · 20 Sep
W v Den Haag2–0 · 12 Sep
W v Telstar1–0 · 9 Sep
D @ Groningen2–2 · 6 Sep
W @ Cambuur4–1 · 30 Aug
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Fortuna Sittard won 2, Twente won 7 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 21 Mar 2026, finished Fortuna Sittard 1–2 Twente, a win for Twente.
Fortuna Sittard 1–2 Twente21 Mar 2026
Twente 3–2 Fortuna Sittard26 Sep 2025
Twente 1–1 Fortuna Sittard5 Apr 2025
Fortuna Sittard 1–2 Twente23 Nov 2024
Twente 2–0 Fortuna Sittard6 Apr 2024
Fortuna Sittard 0–3 Twente8 Oct 2023
Season averages per game
FSTW
1.70Goals1.90
1.70Conceded1.00
0.86xG2.03
2.14xG against0.89
9.7Shots20.3
4.5On target6.9
2.7Corners7.0
1.50Yellow cards1.00
20%Clean sheets30%
70%Both score60%
60%3+ goals50%