Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard result and stats
Win probability: home 51%, draw 27%, away 22%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersFortuna Sittard won 3–2 away at Groningen in the Eredivisie on Friday 28 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Groningen 51%, the draw 27% and Fortuna Sittard 22%, so an away win had a 22% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Groningen 1.60, Fortuna Sittard 0.88, so Groningen created the better chances. Groningen had 22 shots (2 on target) to Fortuna Sittard's 9 (5 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
GRFS
1.60Expected goals0.88
22Shots9
2On target5
7Corners2
8Fouls8
3Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals2
Recent form
Groningen
L @ PSV Eindhoven1–5 · 23 Aug
W @ Den Haag4–1 · 16 Aug
W v Utrecht2–1 · 9 Aug
W @ Heracles2–1 · 17 May
W v NEC Nijmegen2–1 · 10 May
Fortuna Sittard
L v AZ Alkmaar0–2 · 22 Aug
W v Cambuur3–1 · 15 Aug
D @ PSV Eindhoven2–2 · 8 Aug
L @ Utrecht0–2 · 17 May
W v Zwolle3–2 · 10 May
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Groningen won 3, Fortuna Sittard won 5 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 25 Jan 2026, finished Groningen 1–2 Fortuna Sittard, a win for Fortuna Sittard.
Groningen 1–2 Fortuna Sittard25 Jan 2026
Fortuna Sittard 1–2 Groningen25 Oct 2025
Groningen 1–0 Fortuna Sittard16 Mar 2025
Fortuna Sittard 1–0 Groningen26 Oct 2024
Fortuna Sittard 3–1 Groningen2 Apr 2023
Groningen 2–3 Fortuna Sittard13 Nov 2022
Season averages per game
GRFS
2.40Goals1.70
2.10Conceded1.70
1.71xG0.86
1.98xG against2.14
14.3Shots9.7
5.5On target4.5
4.6Corners2.7
1.20Yellow cards1.50
10%Clean sheets20%
90%Both score70%
90%3+ goals60%