Heerenveen vs Zwolle result and stats
Win probability: home 56%, draw 24%, away 20%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersZwolle won 2–0 away at Heerenveen in the Eredivisie on Saturday 22 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Heerenveen 56%, the draw 24% and Zwolle 20%, so an away win had a 20% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Heerenveen 0.85, Zwolle 1.55, so Zwolle created the better chances. Heerenveen had 18 shots (5 on target) to Zwolle's 20 (7 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
HEZW
0.85Expected goals1.55
18Shots20
5On target7
5Corners3
6Fouls13
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Recent form
Heerenveen
D @ Ajax2–2 · 16 Aug
W v Twente1–0 · 9 Aug
D v Ajax0–0 · 17 May
L @ NAC Breda0–2 · 10 May
W @ Volendam2–0 · 3 May
Zwolle
L @ Twente1–3 · 16 Aug
L v Ajax0–2 · 9 Aug
L v Feyenoord0–2 · 17 May
L @ Fortuna Sittard2–3 · 10 May
W v Heracles1–0 · 3 May
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Heerenveen won 3, Zwolle won 2 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 15 Feb 2026, finished Heerenveen 4–2 Zwolle, a win for Heerenveen.
Heerenveen 4–2 Zwolle15 Feb 2026
Zwolle 2–1 Heerenveen28 Nov 2025
Zwolle 1–1 Heerenveen16 Feb 2025
Heerenveen 1–1 Zwolle6 Oct 2024
Heerenveen 2–0 Zwolle3 Mar 2024
Zwolle 2–2 Heerenveen13 Jan 2024
Season averages per game
HEZW
1.80Goals1.10
1.30Conceded2.30
1.50xG1.02
1.45xG against1.86
15.3Shots11.7
5.9On target4.4
4.8Corners4.1
0.90Yellow cards1.40
40%Clean sheets10%
40%Both score50%
60%3+ goals60%