NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard result and stats
Win probability: home 62%, draw 21%, away 17%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersNEC Nijmegen and Fortuna Sittard drew 2–2 in the Eredivisie on Sunday 18 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave NEC Nijmegen 62%, the draw 21% and Fortuna Sittard 17%, so a draw had a 21% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished NEC Nijmegen 2.99, Fortuna Sittard 0.39, so NEC Nijmegen created the better chances. NEC Nijmegen had 24 shots (7 on target) to Fortuna Sittard's 5 (3 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
NNFS
2.99Expected goals0.39
24Shots5
7On target3
13Corners0
11Fouls10
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals1
Recent form
NEC Nijmegen
D @ Ajax1–1 · 10 Oct
D v Go Ahead Eagles1–1 · 20 Sep
L @ Cambuur0–3 · 12 Sep
D v Excelsior2–2 · 8 Sep
L v Feyenoord1–3 · 5 Sep
Fortuna Sittard
D v Twente1–1 · 10 Oct
W @ Willem II1–0 · 19 Sep
L v Ajax1–5 · 12 Sep
W @ Den Haag3–2 · 6 Sep
W @ Groningen3–2 · 28 Aug
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, NEC Nijmegen won 4, Fortuna Sittard won 3 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 28 Feb 2026, finished NEC Nijmegen 2–3 Fortuna Sittard, a win for Fortuna Sittard.
NEC Nijmegen 2–3 Fortuna Sittard28 Feb 2026
Fortuna Sittard 3–2 NEC Nijmegen31 Aug 2025
NEC Nijmegen 4–1 Fortuna Sittard19 Jan 2025
Fortuna Sittard 0–3 NEC Nijmegen31 Aug 2024
Fortuna Sittard 1–1 NEC Nijmegen2 Apr 2024
NEC Nijmegen 4–1 Fortuna Sittard15 Dec 2023
Season averages per game
NNFS
1.70Goals1.70
1.80Conceded1.70
1.70xG0.86
1.77xG against2.14
15.9Shots9.7
4.7On target4.5
6.3Corners2.7
1.30Yellow cards1.50
0%Clean sheets20%
90%Both score70%
80%3+ goals60%