GOSSIPBALL
EredivisieMatchday 11Saturday 31 October 2026 ·

PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II prediction

92%
home win
likeliest score
4–0
9.2% chance
6%
draw
2%
away win
Win probability: home 92%, draw 6%, away 2%

Match preview

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes PSV Eindhoven clear favourites to beat Willem II at home in the Eredivisie on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 17:45 UTC. It gives PSV Eindhoven a 92% chance of winning, puts the draw at 6% and gives Willem II 2%.

GossipBall expects 4.3 goals from PSV Eindhoven and 0.7 from Willem II, so goals look likely: there is a 88% chance of three or more goals and a 52% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 4–0 (9%). PSV Eindhoven keep a clean sheet in 47% of outcomes, Willem II in 1%.

PSV Eindhoven are 3rd in the table with 20 points from 10 games; Willem II are 18th with 2. In their last five league games PSV Eindhoven took 7 points (WLWLD) and Willem II took 0 (LLLLL). This season PSV Eindhoven average 2.45 expected goals (xG) for and 1.37 against per game; Willem II average 1.18 for and 2.25 against.

In 4 league meetings since 2021, PSV Eindhoven won 2, Willem II won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 8 Feb 2025, was a 1–1 draw.

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
<1
<1
<1
1
3
2
<1
<1
2
6
5
2
<1
3
9
6
2
<1
<1
4
9
7
3
<1
<1
5
8
6
2
<1
<1
Rows: PSV Eindhoven goalsColumns: Willem II goals
4–09.2%
3–08.6%
5–07.8%
4–16.9%
3–16.5%
2–06.1%
1 or more goals
99%
2 or more goals
96%
3 or more goals
88%
4 or more goals
73%
5 or more goals
56%
Both teams score
52%

GOSSIPBALL expects 5.0 goals in total: 4.26 for PSV Eindhoven and 0.75 for Willem II.

Winning margin

Explained
PSV Eindhoven by 3
18%
PSV Eindhoven by 2
16%
PSV Eindhoven by 1
10%
Draw
6%
Willem II by 3
0%
Willem II by 2
0%
Willem II by 1
2%

Each team's goals

Explained
PSV Eindhoven expected goals4.26
Willem II expected goals0.75
PSV Eindhoven keep a clean sheet47%
Willem II keep a clean sheet1%
PSV Eindhoven win without conceding46%
Willem II win without conceding0%
PSV Eindhoven score 2 or more93%
Willem II score 2 or more17%

Recent form

PSV Eindhoven
D v Feyenoord1–1 · 25 Oct
L @ Den Haag1–2 · 17 Oct
W v Heerenveen2–0 · 9 Oct
L @ Twente2–3 · 20 Sep
W v Sparta Rotterdam4–1 · 13 Sep
Willem II
L v Cambuur1–6 · 24 Oct
L @ Sparta Rotterdam2–3 · 17 Oct
L @ Utrecht1–3 · 11 Oct
L v Fortuna Sittard0–1 · 19 Sep
L @ Ajax1–5 · 15 Sep

Head to head

In 4 league meetings since 2021, PSV Eindhoven won 2, Willem II won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 8 Feb 2025, was a 1–1 draw.

PSV Eindhoven 1–1 Willem II8 Feb 2025
Willem II 0–2 PSV Eindhoven28 Sep 2024
PSV Eindhoven 4–2 Willem II1 May 2022
Willem II 2–1 PSV Eindhoven25 Sep 2021

Season averages per game

PEWI
2.80
Goals
1.00
1.30
Conceded
3.20
2.45
xG
1.18
1.37
xG against
2.25
19.6
Shots
11.6
7.1
On target
2.7
6.5
Corners
4.8
1.80
Yellow cards
1.40
10%
Clean sheets
0%
90%
Both score
80%
80%
3+ goals
80%

Questions and answers

Who will win PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II?

GossipBall gives PSV Eindhoven a 92% chance of winning, the draw 6% and Willem II 2%. GossipBall makes PSV Eindhoven clear favourites to beat Willem II at home.

What is the most likely score in PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II?

The likeliest single score is 4–0, with a 9% chance. The next most likely are 3–0 (9%), 5–0 (8%), 4–1 (7%).

Will both teams score in PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II?

GossipBall gives a 52% chance that both PSV Eindhoven and Willem II score.

Will there be three or more goals in PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II?

There is a 88% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 5.0 goals in total (4.3 for PSV Eindhoven, 0.7 for Willem II).

When is PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II?

Kick-off is Saturday 31 October 2026 at 17:45 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between PSV Eindhoven and Willem II?

In 4 league meetings since 2021, PSV Eindhoven won 2, Willem II won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 8 Feb 2025, was a 1–1 draw.

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Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Track record · [email protected]