PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II prediction

Match preview
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes PSV Eindhoven clear favourites to beat Willem II at home in the Eredivisie on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 17:45 UTC. It gives PSV Eindhoven a 92% chance of winning, puts the draw at 6% and gives Willem II 2%.
GossipBall expects 4.3 goals from PSV Eindhoven and 0.7 from Willem II, so goals look likely: there is a 88% chance of three or more goals and a 52% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 4–0 (9%). PSV Eindhoven keep a clean sheet in 47% of outcomes, Willem II in 1%.
PSV Eindhoven are 3rd in the table with 20 points from 10 games; Willem II are 18th with 2. In their last five league games PSV Eindhoven took 7 points (WLWLD) and Willem II took 0 (LLLLL). This season PSV Eindhoven average 2.45 expected goals (xG) for and 1.37 against per game; Willem II average 1.18 for and 2.25 against.
In 4 league meetings since 2021, PSV Eindhoven won 2, Willem II won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 8 Feb 2025, was a 1–1 draw.
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGoals
ExplainedGOSSIPBALL expects 5.0 goals in total: 4.26 for PSV Eindhoven and 0.75 for Willem II.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
In 4 league meetings since 2021, PSV Eindhoven won 2, Willem II won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 8 Feb 2025, was a 1–1 draw.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II?
GossipBall gives PSV Eindhoven a 92% chance of winning, the draw 6% and Willem II 2%. GossipBall makes PSV Eindhoven clear favourites to beat Willem II at home.
What is the most likely score in PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II?
The likeliest single score is 4–0, with a 9% chance. The next most likely are 3–0 (9%), 5–0 (8%), 4–1 (7%).
Will both teams score in PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II?
GossipBall gives a 52% chance that both PSV Eindhoven and Willem II score.
Will there be three or more goals in PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II?
There is a 88% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 5.0 goals in total (4.3 for PSV Eindhoven, 0.7 for Willem II).
When is PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II?
Kick-off is Saturday 31 October 2026 at 17:45 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between PSV Eindhoven and Willem II?
In 4 league meetings since 2021, PSV Eindhoven won 2, Willem II won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 8 Feb 2025, was a 1–1 draw.