EredivisieMatchday 11Sunday 1 November 2026 · 13:30

Telstar vs Utrecht prediction

Telstar

34%

home win

likeliest score

1–1

12.5% chance

27%

draw

Utrecht

40%

away win

Win probability: home 34%, draw 27%, away 40%

Match preview

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Utrecht slight favourites to beat Telstar away from home in the Eredivisie on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 13:30 UTC. It gives Telstar a 34% chance of winning, puts the draw at 27% and gives Utrecht 40%.

GossipBall expects 1.4 goals from Telstar and 1.6 from Utrecht, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 58% chance of three or more goals and a 62% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 1–1 (12%). Telstar keep a clean sheet in 21% of outcomes, Utrecht in 24%.

Telstar are 16th in the table with 6 points from 10 games; Utrecht are 11th with 12. In their last five league games Telstar took 2 points (DLDLL) and Utrecht took 10 (WLWWD). This season Telstar average 1.30 expected goals (xG) for and 2.14 against per game; Utrecht average 1.40 for and 1.78 against.

In 2 league meetings since 2025, Telstar won 0, Utrecht won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 11 Apr 2026, finished Utrecht 4–1 Telstar, a win for Utrecht.

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read

Rows: Telstar goalsColumns: Utrecht goals

1–112.5%

1–28.8%

2–18.0%

0–16.4%

2–26.3%

0–06.3%

Goals

Explained

1 or more goals

94%

2 or more goals

82%

3 or more goals

58%

4 or more goals

35%

5 or more goals

19%

Both teams score

62%

GOSSIPBALL expects 3.0 goals in total: 1.44 for Telstar and 1.57 for Utrecht.

Winning margin

Explained

Telstar by 3

Telstar by 2

10%

Telstar by 1

17%

Draw

27%

Utrecht by 3

Utrecht by 2

12%

Utrecht by 1

19%

Each team's goals

Explained

Telstar expected goals1.44

Utrecht expected goals1.57

Telstar keep a clean sheet21%

Utrecht keep a clean sheet24%

Telstar win without conceding14%

Utrecht win without conceding18%

Telstar score 2 or more42%

Utrecht score 2 or more47%

Recent form

Telstar

L @ Go Ahead Eagles2–3 · 23 Oct

L v Feyenoord3–4 · 17 Oct

D v Den Haag2–2 · 11 Oct

L @ AZ Alkmaar0–1 · 20 Sep

D @ Heerenveen0–0 · 13 Sep

Utrecht

D v Zwolle1–1 · 24 Oct

W @ Twente2–1 · 18 Oct

W v Willem II3–1 · 11 Oct

L @ Feyenoord0–5 · 20 Sep

W @ Excelsior2–1 · 13 Sep

Head to head

In 2 league meetings since 2025, Telstar won 0, Utrecht won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 11 Apr 2026, finished Utrecht 4–1 Telstar, a win for Utrecht.

Utrecht 4–1 Telstar11 Apr 2026

Telstar 1–1 Utrecht23 Nov 2025

Season averages per game

TEUT

1.20

Goals

1.70

2.10

Conceded

2.70

1.30

1.40

2.14

xG against

1.78

12.0

Shots

13.8

3.1

On target

4.4

4.5

Corners

4.1

1.40

Yellow cards

2.10

10%

Clean sheets

60%

Both score

90%

70%

3+ goals

90%

Questions and answers

Who will win Telstar vs Utrecht?

GossipBall gives Telstar a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Utrecht 40%. GossipBall makes Utrecht slight favourites to beat Telstar away from home.

What is the most likely score in Telstar vs Utrecht?

The likeliest single score is 1–1, with a 12% chance. The next most likely are 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%), 0–1 (6%).

Will both teams score in Telstar vs Utrecht?

GossipBall gives a 62% chance that both Telstar and Utrecht score.

Will there be three or more goals in Telstar vs Utrecht?

There is a 58% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.0 goals in total (1.4 for Telstar, 1.6 for Utrecht).

When is Telstar vs Utrecht?

Kick-off is Sunday 1 November 2026 at 13:30 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Telstar and Utrecht?

In 2 league meetings since 2025, Telstar won 0, Utrecht won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 11 Apr 2026, finished Utrecht 4–1 Telstar, a win for Utrecht.