Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar result and stats
Win probability: home 43%, draw 28%, away 29%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersAZ Alkmaar won 4–1 away at Utrecht in the Eredivisie on Saturday 15 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Utrecht 43%, the draw 28% and AZ Alkmaar 29%, so an away win had a 29% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Utrecht 0.91, AZ Alkmaar 2.10, so AZ Alkmaar created the better chances. Utrecht had 8 shots (2 on target) to AZ Alkmaar's 24 (9 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
UTAA
0.91Expected goals2.10
8Shots24
2On target9
3Corners9
23Fouls14
4Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Recent form
Utrecht
L @ Groningen1–2 · 9 Aug
W v Fortuna Sittard2–0 · 17 May
W @ Ajax2–1 · 10 May
W v NAC Breda2–0 · 2 May
L @ Excelsior0–5 · 26 Apr
AZ Alkmaar
W v Den Haag2–0 · 8 Aug
D v NAC Breda3–3 · 17 May
D @ Feyenoord1–1 · 10 May
D v Twente2–2 · 3 May
D @ Go Ahead Eagles0–0 · 23 Apr
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Utrecht won 2, AZ Alkmaar won 3 and 5 were drawn; the most recent, on 1 Mar 2026, finished Utrecht 2–0 AZ Alkmaar, a win for Utrecht.
Utrecht 2–0 AZ Alkmaar1 Mar 2026
AZ Alkmaar 4–1 Utrecht26 Oct 2025
Utrecht 0–0 AZ Alkmaar18 Jan 2025
AZ Alkmaar 1–2 Utrecht29 Sep 2024
AZ Alkmaar 3–3 Utrecht19 May 2024
Utrecht 1–1 AZ Alkmaar3 Dec 2023
Season averages per game
UTAA
1.70Goals2.00
2.70Conceded1.20
1.40xG2.17
1.78xG against1.22
13.8Shots16.8
4.4On target6.4
4.1Corners7.5
2.10Yellow cards1.40
0%Clean sheets30%
90%Both score50%
90%3+ goals40%